- XRP market cap jumped $7.74B on simply $12.87M inflows on 12 April 2025.
- Present XRP market cap is $125B, price trades round $2.13.
- 9 corporations filed for spot XRP ETFs with the SEC in latest months.
As curiosity in cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) intensifies, XRP is gaining consideration for its price potential fuelled by institutional inflows.
In keeping with monetary analyst Zach Rector, XRP might hit $15 in 2025 if ETF inflows attain $4 billion, leveraging a market cap multiplier mannequin.
This estimate arrives at a time when a number of asset managers, together with Grayscale, VanEck, and Ark Make investments, are queuing up to launch spot XRP ETFs in the USA.
Ripple’s pending authorized decision can be feeding hypothesis that the SEC might approve a number of XRP ETFs by year-end.
A pointy multiplier impact
Rector’s analysis is rooted in a easy but highly effective idea: the market cap multiplier. This metric divides the change in an asset’s market capitalisation by the scale of its web influx, providing a solution to gauge the influence of capital coming into the market.
On 12 April 2025, XRP’s market cap jumped by $7.74 billion inside eight hours, with simply $12.87 million in inflows—equating to a 601x multiplier.
Utilizing a extra conservative 200x multiplier, Rector projected what would occur if JPMorgan’s lower-bound forecast of $4 billion in XRP ETF inflows have been realised.
In keeping with his mannequin, that might drive an $800 billion improve in market cap. Primarily based on an assumed provide of 60 billion XRP tokens, this may place XRP’s price at $15, up from its present price of round $2.13. That suggests a 597% price rise.
Supply: CoinMarketCap
ETF filings add to momentum
The prospect of an XRP ETF gained additional traction this month as 9 fund managers filed for spot merchandise with the US Securities and Trade Fee.
The checklist consists of Franklin Templeton, WisdomTree, 21Shares, and Bitwise. On the similar time, Ripple is predicted to resolve its long-running courtroom case with the SEC in 2025, eradicating a key regulatory impediment.
In the meantime, a leveraged XRP ETF from Teucrium Funding Advisors just lately started buying and selling on NYSE Arca. Whereas not a spot ETF, its approval has raised hopes that related funds might observe.
Internationally, Brazil authorized a spot XRP ETF in March 2025, making it the primary nation to take action. Polymarket at the moment locations the chances of US approval by the top of the yr at 78%.
JPMorgan expects main inflows
JPMorgan earlier this yr estimated that XRP ETFs might appeal to between $4 billion and $8 billion in web inflows throughout their first yr. Rector’s forecast used the decrease finish of this vary, avoiding extra aggressive assumptions.
Even so, the underlying logic of a multiplier impact means modest capital inflows can have an outsized impact on market capitalisation.
At current, XRP has a market cap of about $125 billion. If the multiplier mannequin holds and inflows complete $4 billion, a transfer to $925 billion in valuation may very well be potential.
Nevertheless, Rector additionally acknowledged his mannequin doesn’t consider futures markets, decentralised buying and selling on the XRP Ledger, or modifications in token provide—all of which might shift price dynamics additional.
Whereas Ethereum’s ETF merchandise have seen underwhelming inflows of solely $2.28 billion since July 2024, XRP’s latest price motion and ETF curiosity might set it aside.
However regulatory timelines and investor threat urge for food will finally determine how the situation performs out.
The put up XRP might hit $15 if ETF inflows surge, says analyst utilizing multiplier mannequin appeared first on CoinJournal.