Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW) shares now pay out the third-largest dividend on the FTSE 100. The yield now sits at 8.01% with projections for the following three years at 6.78%, 7.65%, and 9.03%, too. For traders in search of shares to place a dependable bit of money of their pocket, is that this a pretty inventory to contemplate snapping up? Let’s reply.

Uncommon coverage

A part of the enchantment of Taylor Wimpey is its considerably uncommon dividend coverage. To account for the cyclical nature of home costs and residential constructing basically, administration goals to return 7.5% of web belongings annually. In different phrases, the funds are tied to issues just like the land the corporate owes fairly than the numbers on the earnings statements. 

This has the impact of a extra steady dividend cost as belongings transfer much less up and down in comparison with earnings. That’s, after all, solely whereas the corporate is making the cash to pay for it.

The following decade might convey sustained good efficiency for housebuilders too. One motive is extra demand for homes because of an growing inhabitants. 

The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics launched knowledge on the development this week. Over the 10-year reporting interval, round 10m will circulate into the nation, with round 5m leaving. As much as 2032, the UK inhabitants will develop 7.2% to the 72m mark. That’s a web inflow of 500k individuals a yr. 

Are we constructing 500k homes a yr? Not even shut. The final yr on report got here to 220k. The federal government’s personal lofty targets – that many decry as unrealistic and unattainable – come to 300k. It appears inevitable that demand for housing will outpace provide. 

Rising prices

Excessive home costs convey many damaging results too, however it is going to seemingly end in extra earnings for these constructing the homes. The consequence is likely to be sustained excessive dividend funds for years to come back. 

Dearer homes aren’t the one factor that appears inevitable, so too do rising prices within the business. Vitality costs are larger on our islands than virtually wherever on this planet. Labour prices have simply gone up by means of minimal wage rises and Employer’s NI adjustments – a hefty invoice for Taylor Wimpey with 6,000 workers and 15,000 contractors.

That’s not even to say the price of uncooked supplies that began rising throughout Covid and exploded after the invasion of Ukraine. These surging prices are an enormous headache and stands out as the greatest danger to the long run dividends of Taylor Wimpey. 

On the entire, I feel there are good prospects right here for each earnings and progress. Given the dangers, I don’t suppose I’d name this a slam dunk purchase and gained’t be shopping for in myself at the moment. But when worries about prices have been to ease then this may seemingly be a inventory to make it into my very own portfolio.